A missile attack is serious. The wound is still fresh.
0.074871
Relative Brier Score
8
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 13, 2024 07:13AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
Yes
Mar 13, 2024 to Apr 13, 2024
95%
No
Mar 13, 2024 to Apr 13, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
there are so many planets and 5 is an achievable number
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
The Gaza war has made Israel more aggressive.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-90%)
Yes
95%
(+90%)
No
Houthi rebels still uncontrolled.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
Yes
5%
No
Houthi rebels are still uncontrollable.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
There is so much talent in China they will be giving up.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Russia is a totalitarian state. And Putin will be brutal on any chance of insurrection.
Files
China has too much AI talent to abandon.