Ukraine is having trouble in defense of Kharkiv
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Definitions |
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Kharkiv
2%
Kyiv
3%
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Moldova
25%
Armenia
10%
Georgia
2%
Kazakhstan
Reasons
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes
65%
No
Faltering support for Ukraine among republicans
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
Laplace’s rule of change not occuring last terms: 1/(4+2). Putin having removed competition, enjoying 70% support, at least, in population, and changed the consittution to allow more terms. The only chance of change is illness or a coup.
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Russia will not attack NATO