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zuleirys
Zuleirys Santana Rodriguez
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2020 Season
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2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
0.011371
Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
-0.153047
Jan 04, 2022 01:16PM UTC
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
-0.015016
Jan 03, 2022 01:41PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
-0.018933
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
0.123298
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
0.002397
Jul 30, 2021 11:11AM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
0.003308
Jun 01, 2021 06:44PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
-0.000803
Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM UTC
How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.018453
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.065245
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.167593
Feb 05, 2021 05:35PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
0.06234
Feb 01, 2021 02:49PM UTC
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.098095
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
0.108966
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.007442
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
0.29361
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
0.209055
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.283151
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.007444
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.019858
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