Benjamin-Sturgeon

Benjamin Sturgeon
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New Prediction

Very few habitable planets have been found so far and it’s unlikely for enough to be discovered in time. 

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New Prediction
Benjamin-Sturgeon
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Benjamin-Sturgeon quit this question on Jul 31, 2024 02:00AM
Probability
Answer
79% (+23%)
Yes
21% (-23%)
No

The number of confirmed habitable exoplanets has increased significantly making it much more likely that we will reach 5 for 2024.

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New Prediction

I think given that no exoplanets have been added in 2024 so far is not a good sign, and given that the JWST has not been meaningfully contributing to the search for exoplanets means that we are mostly relying on older observatories to provide new discoveries. 

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MrLittleTexas
made a comment:
They have added exoplanets in 2024 I believe. The question resolution criteria lists 69 at time of question launch, and the resolution source lists 70.
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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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