Observation & counting historical occurrences of such an event, adjusted to current geopolitical context of the region.
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Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
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This forecast expired on May 11, 2024 06:14AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
11%
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
89%
No
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
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