-0.000033
Relative Brier Score
0
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Definitions |
If Putin were to quit being president, it would be
1. When he dies, or 2. When a revolution breaks out in Russia.
Putin is said to have health problems, so I think there's about a 1% chance.
2 is very unlikely to happen before the end of this year
Therefore, there is a 1% chance that he will leave office.