David-R--Mandel

David R. Mandel
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-0.18933

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 1 1 1
Comments 0 0 1 1 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 1 1
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
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My First Question

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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
David-R--Mandel
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 19, 2024 09:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
65%
Yes
Apr 19, 2024 to Oct 19, 2024
35%
No
Apr 19, 2024 to Oct 19, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

The indication from Israeli military officers is that an offensive against Hezbollah to secure Israel's norther border will come once the major ground operation in Gaza is completed. 

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Why might you be wrong?

There are various possibilities that could delay or even preclude such a war. There could be complications in Gaza, direct conflict escalation with Iran could take priority, there could be diplomatic pressures that stall war with Hezbollah. 

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