Unlikely; US may ask Microsoft to pull out.
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New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

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Probability
Answer
15%
(-55%)
Yes
85%
(+55%)
No
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
Comment deleted on May 13, 2024 12:58AM UTC
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