Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 1, 2025 05:35PM
(23 days ago)
Mar 1, 2025 05:35PM
(23 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | Mar 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2025 | Apr 1, 2025 05:35PM | 2% | +0% | +1% |
| No | 98% | Mar 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2025 | Apr 1, 2025 05:35PM | 98% | +0% | -1% |