No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Definitions |

New Badge


My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!

New Prediction
Microsoft may have the intention to make their chinese research division be weaker due to geopolitical reasons, but they can't close the lab without suffering retaliation from the chinese government. Accordingly to Finance Yahoo, Microsoft has little exposure to China, but nonetheless, they depend on chinese/taiwanese hardware. If Microsoft decides to completely leave China, it may be interpreted as a sign of untrust coming from the West, which would increase geopolitical tension.