Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
25
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 10 | 76 | 25 | 76 |
| Comments | 1 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(+1%)
Yes
96%
(-1%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
time is short but market volatility is nuts...I still think MSFT at least will remain ahead.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
41%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 7, 2025 to Oct 7, 2025
59%
(0%)
No
Apr 7, 2025 to Oct 7, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-1%)
Yes
97%
(+1%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
routine update
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Badge
Star Commenter - Mar 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
41%
(-4%)
Yes
Mar 25, 2025 to Sep 25, 2025
59%
(+4%)
No
Mar 25, 2025 to Sep 25, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
routine update.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
45%
(-2%)
Yes
Mar 20, 2025 to Sep 20, 2025
55%
(+2%)
No
Mar 20, 2025 to Sep 20, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
routine update
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Passage of time and China news hitting NVDA hard
Why might you be wrong?
volatility