60th
Accuracy Rank

nategr8

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0.056639

Relative Brier Score
138000
Questions Forecasted
1110-0.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.1
Scored Questions

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 3 0 3
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 0 2
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 Definitions
New Prediction
nategr8
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 7, 2024 03:23PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Nov 7, 2024 to Nov 7, 2025
80%
No
Nov 7, 2024 to Nov 7, 2025

U.S focused too heavily on AI LLMs to be surpassed by China 

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nategr8
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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nategr8
earned a new badge:

My First Question

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nategr8
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Prior military engagement timelines 

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