Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2025 07:46PM
(9 hours ago)
Mar 14, 2025 07:46PM
(9 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | 0% |
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(7 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2025 07:47PM
(9 hours ago)
Mar 14, 2025 07:47PM
(9 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 0% | 9% | -9% | +0% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 43% | 33% | +10% | +0% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 34% | 43% | -9% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 23% | 13% | +10% | +0% |