Because
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
2
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
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| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
19%
Less than or equal to 59
0%
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
5%
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
0%
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
76%
More than or equal to 90
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Definitelu
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
because tensions are rising between us and china--depending on who wins the presidency, there might be a cessation of certain business relationships
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Estonia
0%
Latvia
13%
Lithuania
Yes
Files
Why do you think you're right?
more likely
Why might you be wrong?
could be unlikely