Global escalation unlikely
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
Yes
Jan 18, 2025 to Jul 18, 2026
96%
No
Jan 18, 2025 to Jul 18, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Shift in global leadership could spur conflict
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
Yes
89%
No
Making my first forecast!
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Historic evidence, current financial situations
Why might you be wrong?