NVDA is currently battling with AAPL and MSFT for the number one spot, both of which have over $3T in market cap. The economy is currently headed into a stagflationary period and will oscillate between reflation and stagflation, so it really depends on what the economy will look like on May 30th, 2025. If it is in a longer stagflationary period, MSFT or AAPL will pull ahead, with NVDA experiencing some multiple compression due to high valuation multiples. These are, to a degree, justified, but when the market gets scared, growth performs poorly.
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NVDA is a phenomenal company that everyone wants to buy, and if the economy stays in shape, there's a very likely chance it will pull well ahead of MSFT and AAPL. Factoring in these variables of the economy affecting the valuation of NVDA and having two close contenders currently, with AAPL pulling even slightly ahead, I think a 25% chance is a realistic initial forecast.
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