History. US election result. Ukraine/West Asia focus presently. Chinese economy & restraint of DPRK by China.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 6, 2024 10:49PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
Yes
Nov 6, 2024 to May 6, 2025
94%
No
Nov 6, 2024 to May 6, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Kim decides now is the time before Trump takes office. China wants to throw a wrench in the works & muddy the waters while they pursue their agenda with Taiwan.
Files
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Not happening this year.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Bibi shocks the world and does an about-turn on his policy in Gaza, which became even less likely after firing the more moderate DM Yoav Gallant.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
My opninion
Why might you be wrong?
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