TheVariance

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Relative Brier Score
137000
Questions Forecasted

0

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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
TheVariance
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 59
0%
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
0%
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
60%
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
40%
More than or equal to 90
Why do you think you're right?

Russia has a strong incentive to influence the outcome of the German election, especially this election with the AfD and Sahra Wagenknecht's party polling well.

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Why might you be wrong?

The result relies on the EUvsDisinfo project to catch and catalogue all cases and there are likely many cases that they have failed to catch.

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New Prediction

Netanyahu is in a position of strength and has no obligation to end the war especially with Trump coming in

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TheVariance
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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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TheVariance
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Making my first forecast!
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