They haven't debuted the 433-Qubit Osprey chip which they committed to doing in 2022. While there are still two months left in the year, the holiday season is a pretty terrible time to debut new IT products. So they're probably at least a little behind schedule.
0.428835
Relative Brier Score
93
Forecasts
9
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
Files
In the available data, the number has grown in 75% of years. Moreover, it has been higher than the 2022 value in 50% of the available data, and the 50% was the latter two preceding years, implying a general growth trend with 2021 as an outlier.