| Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM | Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? | 0.05935 |
| Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM | Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023? | -0.000113 |
| Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM | Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? | -0.022706 |
| Jan 25, 2023 02:00PM | What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022? | 0.037692 |
| Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022) | -0.000067 |
| Nov 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022) | -0.003455 |
| Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM | Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022? | 0.046789 |