| Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 05:01AM | Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")? | -0.001448 |
| Dec 1, 2024 05:01AM | Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days? | 0.065404 |
| May 1, 2024 04:01AM | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024? | -0.002179 |
| Apr 2, 2024 03:00PM | Will BP or Shell resume oil shipments through the Red Sea before 31 March 2024? | 0.002792 |