max-daniel

Max Daniel
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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.838217
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021? 0.199499
    Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021? 0.069451
    Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021? 0.184997
    Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021? 0.106574
    Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)? -0.129731
    Jul 1, 2021 05:32PM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive? -0.011184
    Apr 17, 2021 09:56PM How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.17595
    Apr 1, 2021 04:51PM How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive? -0.055043
    Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work? 0.04705
    Mar 7, 2021 09:22PM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? 0.043863
    Feb 5, 2021 05:35PM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020? 0.021051
    Jan 4, 2021 01:58PM What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020? 0.024584
    Jan 4, 2021 01:49PM What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive? 0.073601
    Nov 3, 2020 05:49PM Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020? -0.003403
    Nov 3, 2020 02:25PM Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020? -0.050903
    Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020? 0.152854
    Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020? -0.363656
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