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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
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The Water Cooler
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.016064
Jan 31, 2022 03:14PM
How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years? - 2021
0.093805
Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?
-0.049975
Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
0.120298
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
0.384497
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
-0.659353
Jul 1, 2021 05:32PM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
0.012095
Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
-0.361579
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