thatMikeBishop

Michael Bishop
About:

I forecast honestly, but very casually on this platform. Don't take my forecasts too seriously.

Show more
View All Badges »
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong? -0.031937
    Oct 1, 2021 06:31PM [Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China? -0.036525
    Mar 7, 2021 09:22PM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? 0.025563
    Oct 1, 2020 02:37PM What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? -0.032235
    Oct 1, 2020 04:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020? -0.00121
    Sep 1, 2020 01:31PM Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020? -0.000614
     
    Files
    Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
    Cancel