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93rd
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Shawn
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Russia-Ukraine War
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Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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China Lithography
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Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
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Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Feb 16, 2022 06:45PM UTC
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Dec 31, 2021)
-0.007473
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
-0.000349
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
-0.063036
Jul 01, 2021 05:32PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
-0.001095
Jun 01, 2021 06:44PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
0.000267
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