Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 61 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2025 04:17PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 28, 2025 to Jul 28, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Jan 28, 2025 to Jul 28, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
I am zeroing the odds since time is almost up
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 24, 2025 07:37PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Dec 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
100%
No
Dec 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
impossible
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
36%
Yes
64%
No
I was suggested to make a forecast for this question but I have limited knowledge in this industry. Following the crowd forecast here
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 29, 2024 01:54AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(+1%)
Yes
Nov 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
98%
(-1%)
No
Nov 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There isn't any news about North Korea's nuclear test within the short term of the next six months. I cannot see any potential trigger here.
Why might you be wrong?