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3
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0
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Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
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New Prediction
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 26, 2025 08:59PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Feb 26, 2025 to Aug 26, 2025
99%
No
Feb 26, 2025 to Aug 26, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
So far, there are no intelligence reports suggesting China plans to attack or blockade Taiwan in the following 6 months.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
1% for a black swan event
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 24, 2025 08:41PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why might you be wrong?
a surprise
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2025 03:48AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
Confirmed
Files