Confirmed previous forecast
-0.776432
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
0
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New Prediction
Will Israel and Sudan sign an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations by 31 December 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(+5%)
Yes
Israel says Sudan peace deal to be signed later this year, according to France 24 (https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20230202-israel-and-sudan-agree-to-fully-normalise-ties-later-this-year).
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
My first forecast on INFER. Excited to update the answer soon!!
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