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9th
Accuracy Rank
Jim
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.095206
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.044142
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.029835
Nov 03, 2020 05:49PM UTC
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
0.157566
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
0.006475
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.008644
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.002378
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
0.057118
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.006653
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.022298
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
-0.000508
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