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dasylva-catala-eric
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2020 Season
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2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
-0.230036
Jan 03, 2022 01:41PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
0.080597
Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM UTC
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?
-0.134935
Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM UTC
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?
-0.18883
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
-0.125642
Apr 17, 2021 09:56PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.0014
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.08971
Feb 05, 2021 05:35PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
0.002606
Feb 01, 2021 02:49PM UTC
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.366493
Feb 01, 2021 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.548402
Feb 01, 2021 02:47PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.111263
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
0.037254
Nov 03, 2020 05:49PM UTC
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
0.929389
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
0.288625
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.001976
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
0.045804
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