jkel

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.38131
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? -0.015232
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.125636
    Apr 1, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021? -0.030821
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021? 0.026415
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? 0.479188
    Jan 31, 2022 02:49PM How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.176186
    Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.082368
    Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive? 0.021317
    Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021? 0.261407
    Jan 4, 2022 01:16PM How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021? 0.040399
    Jan 4, 2022 01:10PM What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.103202
    Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021? -0.125462
    Jan 3, 2022 01:41PM What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021? -0.055138
    Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021? -0.205775
    Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021? 0.163361
    Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021? 0.221555
    Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong? 0.32958
    Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021? -0.006095
    Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021? -0.233519
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