In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?
Started
Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM
Closed Nov 1, 2022 04:00AM (2 years ago)
Closed Nov 1, 2022 04:00AM (2 years ago)
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Seasons
Photolithography is a critical weakness of China’s semiconductor industry (CCS Insight). Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co (SMEE), the leading Chinese manufacturer, currently offers lithography equipment to support chips with 90nm nodes. In September, SMEE announced that it had delivered a new product employing 3d chip packaging, but they did not announce its resolution and the new packaging product is not currently available on its website (CGTN, WeChat).
Question will be resolved based on which products are listed on SMEE’s lithography products page. As of 17 March 2022, the 600 series referenced above is the most advanced lithography machine.
Additional Reading:
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.82% | |
| No | 97.18% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 60 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 284 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
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Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 17, 2022 4:15PM EDT (229 days before close, question was 0% complete)