What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?
Started
Mar 31, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
Seasons
An aluminum shortage has seen the price of aluminum rise to historically high levels in recent months. Sanctions on Russia, the 3rd largest supplier of aluminum, may worsen the shortage and cause prices to rise even higher. This question will be resolved using the “close” price of aluminum on June 1, 2022, as reported by Markets Insider.
Additional Reading:
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- Aluminum Shortage Is a Global Issue With No End in Sight
- Shortages 2022: 5 products expected to be in tight supply this year
- Aluminum prices hit 13-year high amid power shortage in China
Question clarification
Issued on 04/04/22 02:00pm
A previous version of the background information mistakenly said that it will resolve using the closing price of aluminum on July 1st instead of June 1st. The background information has been corrected to this effect.
A previous version of the background information mistakenly said that it will resolve using the closing price of aluminum on July 1st instead of June 1st. The background information has been corrected to this effect.
Resolution Notes
Closing price of 2,726.15 on June 1 according to https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/aluminum-price
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $3000 | 85% | |
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500 | 13% | |
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000 | 1% | |
More than or equal to $4000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 88 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 310 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |