How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?

Started Jun 09, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Question will be resolved using Scopus data from the OECD AI Policy Observatory’s data on AI research. The link will take you to the “AI scientific publications by subject area, from Scopus” page. Set the following parameters for the data:  
  • Indicator: Publications  
  • Country: EU (27) 
  • Subject Area: Artificial Intelligence 
See here for more information about the OECD’s methodology and the Elsevier (Scopus) data. Question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and resolved in the first week of April 2023 to account for any lags in reporting.   

Question clarification
Issued on 10/12/22 08:01pm
To account for any lags in reporting, this question will resolve in the first week of April 2023.
Resolution Notes

There were 4,798 publications from the EU in 2022.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2,500 3%
More than or equal to 2,500 but less than 3,000 13%
More than or equal to 3,000 84%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 199
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.044697
2.
-0.039378
3.
-0.033863
4.
-0.033559
5.
-0.033436

Consensus Trend

Files
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