Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
Started
Jun 16, 2022 04:00PM
Closed Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM (3 years ago)
Closed Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM (3 years ago)
Topics
Seasons
In October of 2021, the American Innovation and Choice Online Act was introduced in the U.S. Senate as a piece of anti-trust legislation targeting large online platforms. The bill would, among other things, prohibit platforms from giving preferential treatment to their own products and restricting competitors’ access to data generated on the platform (Brookings).
The bill was reported to the Senate by the Committee on the Judiciary in March, and recent statements by the bill’s sponsors have suggested that a vote is imminent. However, many big tech companies have lobbied against the bill, claiming that it would harm consumers and create cybersecurity risks (Bloomberg). Additionally, some Senate Democrats have expressed concerns that a vote could harm re-election chances in the fall (Politico).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and it will pass | 1% | |
| Yes, and it will not pass | 1% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 81 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 188 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jun 16, 2022 4:33PM EDT (43 days before close, question was 0% complete)