From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?

Started Aug 04, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil for a given time period: 
  • Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates. 
  • Select “Riots” and “Protests” from the event type filter. 
  • Select “Brazil” from the Region filter. 
  • Click “Apply Filters” 
  • Change the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph from “Event Count” to “Fatalities”
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes

ACLED recorded 53 protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil from 1 Aug 2022 to 31 July 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.07%
No 98.93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 603
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.181594
2.
-0.170485
3.
-0.170021
4.
-0.128319
5.
-0.11823

Consensus Trend

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