From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?
Started
Aug 4, 2022 07:00PM
Closed Aug 1, 2023 04:00AM (2 years ago)
Closed Aug 1, 2023 04:00AM (2 years ago)
Seasons
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select “Riots” and “Protests” from the event type filter.
- Select “Brazil” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”
- Change the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph from “Event Count” to “Fatalities”
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes
ACLED recorded 53 protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil from 1 Aug 2022 to 31 July 2023.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.07% | |
| No | 98.93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 76 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 603 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Oct 30, 2022 11:48PM EDT (275 days before close, question was 24% complete)