From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record at least 50 protests or riots or at least 10 protest- or riot-related fatalities in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province?

Started Aug 25, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events and their related fatalities in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province: 
  • Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates 
  • Select the following event types:
    • Riots
    • Protests
  • In the Region filter, select “Eastern” under “Saudi Arabia”
  • Click “Apply Filters” 
  • Use the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph to switch between “Event Count” and “Fatalities”

Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes

ACLED recorded no protests or riots in Saudi Arabia's Eastern province from 1 Aug 2022 to 31 July 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.05%
No 99.95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 279
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000194
2.
-0.0001
3.
-0.000094
4.
-0.000068
5.
-0.000067

Consensus Trend

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