In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications?
Started
Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Question will be resolved using Elsevier (Scopus) data from the OECD’s policy observatory’s data on AI research. The link will take you to the “AI scientific publications time series by institution, from Scopus” page. Set the following parameters for the data:
- Quality Rankings: High Impact: FWCI > 1.5
- Publication Type: ALL
- Institution Type: ALL
See here for more information about the OECD’s methodology and the Elsevier (Scopus) data. Question will be closed for forecasting on 31 December 2022 and resolved in the first week of April 2023 to account for any lags in reporting.
New to AI? Check out our blog post on AI competitiveness for a list of resources to jumpstart your research. To learn more about the OECD data and how it's used by policy makers, check out this video.
Resolution Notes
The Chinese Academy of Sciences had the most high-impact AI research publications.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72.97% | |
| No | 27.03% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 79 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
