From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 9,000 or more protests and riots in Pakistan?

Started Jan 05, 2023 09:30PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events in Pakistan for a given time period: 
  • Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates. 
  • Select the following event types:
    • Riots
    • Protests
  • Select “Pakistan” from the Region filter. 
  • Click “Apply Filters” 
  • Ensure the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph displays “Event Count”
Additional Reading: 
Resolution Notes

ACLED recorded 6,959 protests and riots in Pakistan

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.85%
No 99.15%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 508
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.096062
2.
-0.089691
3.
-0.078411
4.
-0.07552
5.
-0.069934

Consensus Trend

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