From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 9,000 or more protests and riots in Pakistan?
Started
Jan 5, 2023 09:30PM
Closed Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM (a year ago)
Closed Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM (a year ago)
Seasons
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events in Pakistan for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select the following event types:
- Riots
- Protests
- Select “Pakistan” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”
- Ensure the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph displays “Event Count”
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes
ACLED recorded 6,959 protests and riots in Pakistan
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.85% | |
| No | 99.15% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 56 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 508 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 228 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 8, 2023 10:17PM EST (358 days before close, question was 1% complete)