From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 2,000 or more fatalities due to battles in South Sudan?
Started
Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
Seasons
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of battle-related fatalities in South Sudan for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select “Battles” from the event type filter.
- Select “South Sudan” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”
- Change the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph from “Event Count” to “Fatalities”
Fatality counts from previous years are below:
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes
ACLED recorded 694 fatalities due to battles in South Sudan
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0.02% | |
No | 99.98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 49 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 392 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |