From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 2,000 or more fatalities due to battles in Ethiopia?
Started
Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 11, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 11, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Seasons
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of battle-related fatalities in Ethiopia for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select “Battles” from the event type filter.
- Select “Ethiopia” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”
- Change the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph from “Event Count” to “Fatalities”
Fatality counts from previous years are below:
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes
ACLED recorded 2038 fatalities due to battles in Ethiopia from 1 January to 10 November 2023.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96.52% | |
| No | 3.48% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 46 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 448 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
