Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?
Started
Mar 09, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Topics
Seasons
SpaceX’s Starship is a super-heavy-lift rocket and spacecraft, and if successful, would be the most powerful rocket system ever launched (Mashable, NASASpaceflight.com, BBC). SpaceX had been preparing for Starship’s first orbital launch test to occur in late 2022, but static fire tests have yet to ignite all 33 Raptor engines (CNET, NASASpaceflight.com). The test flight is now projected for March 2023 (Engadget, Space).
This question will be resolved based on open-source media reporting. The reports must indicate that Starship reached orbit. If Starship fails to reach orbit before 1 April 2023, this question will resolve “No”.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.06% | |
| No | 98.94% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 84 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 140 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
