Will Kosovo and Serbia sign an EU-backed proposal aimed at normalizing diplomatic relations by 30 June 2023?
Started
Apr 14, 2023 08:30PM
Closed Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM (2 years ago)
Closed Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM (2 years ago)
Seasons
The European Union has been working to facilitate the normalization of relations between Kosovo and Serbia for more than a decade (SWP). In February of 2023, the EU-proposed an Agreement on the Path to Normalisation between Kosovo and Serbia and in March announced that the two sides had agreed to its provisions (AP, ECFR). However, the agreement has yet to be signed, and both sides have indicated that there are still issues to resolve (Reuters, RFERL).
Signing of the current Agreement on the path to normalisation between Kosovo and Serbia or another EU-backed normalization agreement on or before 30 June 2023 will count.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.17% | |
| No | 99.83% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 54 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 228 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 14, 2023 4:30PM EDT (78 days before close, question was 0% complete)