From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Started
May 18, 2023 07:00PM
Closed Jun 1, 2024 04:00AM (a year ago)
Closed Jun 1, 2024 04:00AM (a year ago)
Seasons
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protests and riots in Colombia for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select “Protests” and “Riots” from the event type filter.
- Select “Colombia” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”
The total number of protests and riots for the relevant time frame will be reported at the top of the page after “Events:”
Additional Reading:
Resolution Notes
ACLED recorded 2404 protests and riots in Colombia from 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 749 | 0% | |
| Between 750 and 1499, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive | 3% | |
| Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive | 97% | |
| More than or equal to 3000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 419 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Consensus Trend
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Nov 23, 2023 12:50PM EST (191 days before close, question was 50% complete)