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From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Started May 25, 2023 07:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of battles and incidents of violence against civilians in Venezuela for a given time period:  

  • Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.  
  • Select “Battles” and “Violence against civilians” from the event type filter. 
  • Select “Venezuela” from the Region filter.  
  • Click “Apply Filters”  
The total number of battles and incidents of violence against civilians for the relevant time frame will be reported at the top of the page after “Events:” 

Resolution Notes

ACLED recorded 410 battles and incidents of violence against civilians in Venezuela from 1 June 2023 through 31 May 2024.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than or equal to 499 99%
Between 500 and 999, inclusive 1%
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive 0%
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive 0%
More than or equal to 2000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 440
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.100252
2.
-0.098378
3.
-0.064671
4.
-0.030276
5.
-0.029353

Consensus Trend

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