Will an AI-generated film or episode be released by Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, or Amazon Prime before 1 September 2023?
Started
Jun 15, 2023 07:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Topics
Seasons
Generative AI is transforming the entertainment industry and bringing AI-powered text-to-video tools to the masses (Fortune, Mpost). An AI text-to-video film won the Jury Award at Cannes in 2023 (Nextweb).
Resolution Criteria:
The film, episode, or series must be at least 20 minutes in length, and whether or not a film or episode was AI-generated will be determined using official credits, statements by the humans involved in making it, and/or reputable news media reports. The use of non AI-generated video input into an AI-generator would still count (e.g., The Crow). Having AI-generated components in only a few scenes, for background images, or parts of the video will not suffice (e.g., Dog and Boy). A film or episode consisting of a series of still images will count as long as text-to-video technology was used to create them. A film or episode written by AI (e.g., ChatGPT) but otherwise created using traditional production methods would not count.
Question clarification
Issued on 06/30/23 06:17pm
Marvel’s "Secret Invasion” on Disney+ included AI-generated opening credits (The Guardian). As stated in the resolution criteria, "Having AI-generated components in only a few scenes, for background images, or parts of the video will not suffice,” so this does not count towards the resolution of this question.
Marvel’s "Secret Invasion” on Disney+ included AI-generated opening credits (The Guardian). As stated in the resolution criteria, "Having AI-generated components in only a few scenes, for background images, or parts of the video will not suffice,” so this does not count towards the resolution of this question.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 1% | |
No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 100 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 278 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |