What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Started Jul 9, 2024 04:30PM
Closed Jan 1, 2025 05:00AM (2 months ago)
Seasons

Semiconductors are a foundational component of modern electronics, powering everything from smartphones to military systems to advanced medical equipment (Investopedia, SIA). Consequently, trends in semiconductor markets could signal upcoming shifts in consumer technology, industrial output, and even geopolitical dynamics.

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) predicts semiconductor revenue in the Americas to rise to $168 billion in 2024 (WSTS). This would account for 27.5% of predicted worldwide billings for the year, up from 25.5% in 2023.


Resolution Criteria:

This question will be resolved by using the Total Year data for 2024 in the Americas and Worldwide in WSTS’ Historical Billings Report, expected to be available in early 2025. 

Resolution Notes

31% of global semiconductor revenue ($194.6 billion of a worldwide $627.6 billion) came from the Americas in 2024.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 24% 0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% 0%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% 1%
More than or equal to 28% 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 321
Average for questions older than 6 months: 227
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.082648
2.
-0.07649
3.
-0.049901
4.
-0.02815
5.
-0.027312

Consensus Trend

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Aug 30, 2024 6:57AM EDT (124 days before close, question was 30% complete)
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