Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 15, 2024 and Jun 15, 2024)
Started
May 15, 2024 10:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 15, 2024 10:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 15, 2024 10:00PM UTC
Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched multiple drone and missile attacks against Israel since the war between Israel and Hamas began on 7 October 2023 (Reuters). Recent statements by the leader of the Houthi movements indicate that in addition to the attacks on Israeli territory, they intend to target Israeli ships in the Red Sea as well (Newsweek, AP News).
Resolution Criteria:
This question will be resolved using credible, open-source news reports confirming that Houthi rebels executed an attack (e.g., bombs, missiles, drones, etc.) that struck an Israeli vessel. Attacks that are intercepted or otherwise fail to make impact with an Israeli vessel will not count towards resolution.
This question is part of the issue decomposition on “Iran's Influence on Violent Non-State Actors.” For more, see INFER's explainer, issue reports, and other questions in this decomposition.
This question is a resolved time period from Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
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| Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0% |
| No | 0% |