How it works:
Step
You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).
Step
You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.
Step
Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.
Step
An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.
| Pinned Question | Votes | Question | Author | Status |
Submitted
/ Last Edited |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinned Question | Will legally binding requirements for screening of both orders and customers for commercial nucleic acid synthesis come into force in the UK before 2027? |
|
Open | 09/12/24 12:01pm 09/23/24 03:45pm |
|
|
| Pinned Question | Will Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes face impeachment by the end of 2025? |
|
Open | 08/17/24 05:34pm 09/12/24 11:52pm |
|
|
| Pinned Question | Will Ukraine have control of this point in Sverdlikovo, Kursk Oblast, Russia, on 31 December 2024? |
|
Open | 08/12/24 01:14am 09/23/24 03:45pm |
|
|
| Pinned Question | Based on Meta's 2024 threat disruption reports, from where will the majority of AI influence operations focusing on the US presidential election originate? |
|
Open | 07/18/24 04:58pm 09/25/24 04:10pm |
|