How it works:

Step

You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).

Step

You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

Step

Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

Step

An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Submitted
/ Last Edited
Pinned Question
1
Will the US seize control of the Panama Canal militarily within the next year?
Wormwood97
Open 03/14/25 05:51pm 03/14/25 05:51pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the US launch military operations inside of Mexico (airstrikes, special operations raids, etc...) within the next 6 months?
Wormwood97
Open 03/14/25 05:50pm 03/14/25 05:50pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the US annex some or all of Canada prior to November 1, 2028?
Wormwood97
Open 03/14/25 05:49pm 03/14/25 05:50pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the US militarily annex Greenland before November 1, 2028?
Wormwood97
Open 03/14/25 05:47pm 03/14/25 05:50pm
Pinned Question
0
Will the current AI bubble burst before the next midterm elections in the U.S., November 2026?
whiteheads
Open 03/07/25 06:22pm 03/07/25 06:22pm
Pinned Question
1
Will Ukraine become a member of NATO by 31 December 2028?
dante
Open 02/26/25 02:38pm 03/14/25 05:50pm
Pinned Question
0
Is the European Union at risk of disintegration by 2034 due to growing political and economic tensions among its members?
aitana-higuera
Open 01/31/25 06:26am 01/31/25 06:26am
Pinned Question
0
Which of the following communicable (i.e., infectious) diseases will cause the most total deaths in 2025 globally according to the WHO?
dockterx
Open 01/08/25 10:33pm 01/08/25 10:33pm
Pinned Question
0
Will China invade Taiwan before their national football team advance to FIFA world cup final stage?
chern-yi-Lee
Open 12/24/24 11:47am 12/24/24 11:47am
Pinned Question
5
Will Turkiye invade Syria before January 1 2026
Plataea479
Open 12/17/24 02:11pm 03/14/25 05:52pm
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