How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
Closed Mar 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
This question is a metric for an issue campaign on the future of the DoD-Silicon Valley relationship. To learn more about this issue campaign and the relevance of this question, see the campaign's subpage and a related blog post. To learn more about our new rolling question formats, see this blog post.
Related question. We previously published versions of this question—asking about revenue over a six-month period—forecasting the first half of 2021 and the second half of 2021. You can view those forecasts here and here.
Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. The historical and forecasted values are a four-quarter rolling sum. Forecasting for each six-month period ends halfway through the period.
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The historical data underlying the graph is here.
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$1,468 billion
This question is a resolved time period from How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 750 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 750 but less than 1000 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 1000 but less than 1250 | 9% | |
| More than or equal to 1250 but less than 1500 | 29% | |
| More than or equal to 1500 but less than 1750 | 29% | |
| More than or equal to 1750 but less than 2000 | 14% | |
| More than or equal to 2000 but less than 2250 | 6% | |
| More than or equal to 2250 but less than 2500 | 3% | |
| More than or equal to 2500 but less than 2750 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 2750 but less than 3000 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 3000 but less than 3500 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 3500 but less than 4000 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 4000 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 90 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 294 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
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